BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball

Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.


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Fort Dodge

Class: 4A Class Rank: 25 Conference: (9-10) Overall: (10-11) Overall Strength =   82.20

  N Date       Location  C  Stren  We They Levl Rank ( W- L) Opponent               Resid I Predict
  1 11/28/2006 Home    L *  71.10  50   62   4A   20 (16- 8) Des Moines Lincoln    -11.10     -0.90                      
  2 12/01/2006 Away    W *  94.04  52   47   4A   17 (12-10) WDM Dowling            11.84     -6.84                      
  3 12/05/2006 Home    W *  73.71  67   56   4A   47 ( 1-22) Des Moines North       -8.49     19.49                      
  4 12/08/2006 Away    L *  86.08  37   42   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley              3.88     -8.88                      
  5 12/12/2006 Away    W *  99.98  65   59   4A    5 (16- 8) Ankeny                 17.78    -11.78                      
  6 12/15/2006 Away    L *  76.44  48   54   4A   29 ( 9-13) Marshalltown           -5.76     -0.24                      
  7 12/19/2006 Home    W *  84.81  66   61   4A   27 ( 9-14) Waukee                  2.61      2.39                      
  8 01/05/2007 Away    L *  80.12  39   50   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   -2.08     -8.92                      
  9 01/06/2007 Home    W    82.64  61   50   3A   30 (10-12) Webster City            0.44     10.56                      
 10 01/12/2007 Home    W *  83.95  60   44   4A   44 ( 4-17) Mason City              1.75     14.25                      
 11 01/16/2007 Away    W *  89.26  43   42   4A   18 (11-12) Southeast Polk          7.06     -6.06                      
 12 01/19/2007 Home    W *  84.59  60   54   4A   29 ( 9-13) Marshalltown            2.39      3.61                      
 13 01/26/2007 Away    L *  79.66  55   59   4A   27 ( 9-14) Waukee                 -2.54     -1.46                      
 14 01/30/2007 Away    L *  83.36  44   54   4A    6 (16- 7) Indianola               1.16    -11.16                      
 15 02/02/2007 Home    L *  76.27  55   66   4A   15 (16- 6) Ames                   -5.93     -5.07                      
 16 02/06/2007 Home    L *  80.23  46   48   4A   22 ( 9-13) Des Moines Roosevelt   -1.97     -0.03                      
 17 02/09/2007 Away    W *  92.80  59   38   4A   44 ( 4-17) Mason City             10.60     10.40                      
 18 02/14/2007 Home    L *  77.39  51   55   4A   24 (11-10) Des Moines Hoover      -4.81      0.81  was 02/13 now 02/14 
 19 02/16/2007 Home    W *  92.22  57   52   4A   12 (13-10) WDM Valley             10.02     -5.02                      
 20 02/20/2007 Home    L *  73.20  66   70   4A   33 ( 8-15) Des Moines East        -9.00      5.00                      
 21 02/27/2007 Home    L    64.33  59   62   4A   45 ( 8-14) Boone                 -17.87     14.87                      
      Averages              82.20  54.3 53.6

Best game:   99.98 = 6 point win over Ankeny
Worst game:  64.33 = 3 point loss to Boone
Team stdev:   8.52